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Agricultural and Food Policy
DownloadAgri Outlook Radio
Number 136

Policy/Noteworthy: Part 3. USDA Long-Term Agricultural Projections - Key Results on U.S. consumer food prices (1:36 minutes)

Audio/Video Script:

Dr. Bobby Coats
Extension Economist
University of Arkansas, Division of Agriculture

USDA’s long-term agricultural projections shows consumer food prices will increase less than the general inflation rate. I’m Bobby Coats Extension Economist University of Arkansas Division of Agriculture.

Key results on U.S. consumer food prices include:

USDA projects for most of the next ten years that consumer food prices will increase less than the general inflation rate. USDA makes the point that adjustments in retail prices due to higher energy and agricultural commodity prices will lead to food price increases somewhat larger than general inflation in 2008 and 2009.

USDA projects:

  • First, relatively large price increases in 2008 for fats and oils and for cereals and bakery products, reflecting higher prices for vegetable oils and wheat.
     
  • Second, consumer prices for red meats, poultry, and eggs exceed the general inflation rate in 2009 as the livestock sector adjusts to higher feed costs; and
     
  • Third, consumer expenditures for food away from home continue to grow in importance and account for more than half of overall food spending during most of the projection period.

This has been Bobby Coats Extension Economist University of Arkansas Division of Agriculture.

 

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