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Agricultural and Food Policy
DownloadAgri Outlook Radio
Number 199

Policy/Farm Act: Part 3. The 2008 Farm Bill’s Impact on U.S. Rice Producers, Counter-Cyclical Payment and Concluding Comment (3:48 minutes)

Audio/Video Script:

Robert Coats, Ph.D.
Extension Economist and Professor
University of Arkansas, Division of Agriculture

This is Robert Coats Extension Economist University of Arkansas Division of Agriculture.

Part 3 - The New Farm Bill’s Impact on U.S. Rice Producers

Looking at counter-cyclical payments these payments were continued from the 2002 farm bill. It provides support counter to the cycle of market prices as part of a “safety net” in the event of low deflationary global rice prices. The rice counter-cyclical payment is only issued if the effective rice price is below the rice target price.

The rice counter-cyclical payment rate is the amount by which the rice target exceeds the effective price. The effective rice price equals the direct payment rate plus the higher of: first, the national average market price received by producers during the marketing year; or second, the national loan rate for the commodity. The long grain and medium/short grain target price is $10.50 per cwt, the loan rate is $6.50 per cwt, and the direct payment is $2.35 per cwt. Subtracting the long grain or medium/short grain loan rate ($6.50 per cwt) and direct payment ($2.35 per cwt) from the target price ($10.50 per cwt) then gives you the maximum possible per unit counter-cyclical payment of $1.65 per cwt.

The total possible rice counter cyclical payment for a producer on a farm equals 85% of the farm’s base acres times the farm’s counter-cyclical payment yield times the counter-cyclical payment rate.

An alternative to the traditional counter-cyclical payment for rice producers was established in the 2008 farm bill. It is called the Average Crop Revenue Election (ACRE) program. This program does not start until 2009. It is probably best to limit comments on this program until the final regulations are written later this year.

2002 farm bill payment limits for direct payments, counter-cyclical payments, and loan deficiency payments remain in place for 2008 along with the 3-entity rule, but will change significantly for 2009-2012.

The farm bill’s impact on U.S. rice producers will be determined by the strength or weakness in the global economy and by fairness or lack of fairness in the global trade talks. Time and time again during the farm bill debate Senators and Representatives from rice and cotton states presented their concerns that the loss of global economic momentum could cause commodity prices to tumble, and stressed the limitations of the 2008 farm bill safety net compared to the strength of the 2002 farm bill safety net.

This has been Robert Coats Extension Economist University of Arkansas Division of Agriculture.

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