U of A University of Arkansas Division of Agriculture

Pictures of chickens, flowers, wheat, a boy looking through a magnifying glass, irrigation pipe, soybean pods, and fruits and vegetables.

Cooperative Extension Service

Cooperative Extension Service

Agricultural Experiment Station


Search | Publications | Jobs | Personnel Directory | Links
County Offices | Departments

About Us

Find Us

For the Media

Agriculture

Aquaculture
       & Fisheries

Beef
Corn
Cotton
Dairy
Forage/Pasture
Forestry
Grain Sorghum
Horses
Horticulture
      Commercial

Poultry
Rice
Soybean
Specialty Agriculture
Swine
Wheat

Links
Newsletters

Business & Communities

Families & Consumers

Health & Nutrition

Home & Garden

Natural Resources

4-H Youth Development

Public Policy Center

For Faculty & Staff

Giving

Division Home

Agricultural Experiment
      Station Home


Cooperative Extension
      Service Home

Agricultural and Food Policy
DownloadAgri Outlook Radio
Number 150

Outlook/Noteworthy: USDA's Rice Supply and Demand Estimate Shows Tight Domestic and Global Stocks and Continued Price Strength (4:22 minutes)

Audio/Video Script:

Dr. Bobby Coats
Extension Economist
University of Arkansas, Division of Agriculture

USDA in their April 9, 2008 Supply and Demand Estimate release made no changes to the U.S. 2007/08 rice supply and use projections. They raised the season-average farm price 20 cents per cwt on each end of the range to $12.05 to $12.35 per cwt., this compares to the previous marketing period's $9.96 per cwt.

Globally, from last month USDA raised their production, domestic use, and ending stocks estimates for 2007/08 and lowered imports and exports. USDA made the following points:

  • USDA raised global production 2.4 million tons in part due to increases of 1.5 million tons for Indonesia, 0.6 million ton increase for Burma, and a 0.02 million tons increase for Brazil.
     
  • USDA lowered global imports nearly 2 million tons partly due to the impact of higher global prices and export bans and restrictive policies among many of the leading exporters including Egypt, India, and Vietnam. Imports are lowered for Brazil, China, Cuba, Iraq, Indonesia, and a number of markets in Africa. Africa's imports are down 550,000 tons from last month. Indonesia's imports are lowered due primarily to a large increase in production.
     
  • USDA lowered global exports partly due to reductions for Egypt, Cambodia, China, India, and Vietnam.
     
  • USDA projects global ending stocks at 77.1 million tons, up 1.9 million tons from last month. This is an increase of nearly a million tons from the 2006/07 marketing period.

USDA's planting intentions report projects rice planted area for 2008 at 2.77 million acres. This is up 9,000 acres from 2007, but 2 percent less than was planted in 2006.

U.S. long grain rice producers are expected to produce 75% of all U.S. rice. Long grain rice acreage is projected up 7,000 acres from 2007. Arkansas rice producers are projected to plant 60% of the U.S. long grain rice acreage followed by Louisiana with 15%, Mississippi with 9%, Missouri with 8%, Texas with 7% and California with .4% of the acreage,

Medium grain rice planted acreage is estimated at 634,000 acres and represents 23 percent of the total planted U.S. rice planted acreage. Medium grain rice acreage is up only slightly by 2,000 acres from last year.

Short grain rice planted area represents 2 percent of the total, and is projected to be unchanged from 2007 at 66,000 acres.

Arkansas rice growers in 2008 intend to plant 1,371,000 acres or 50% of the total rice planted in the United States. Arkansas rice growers in 2008 intend to plant 60% of the long grain rice or 1,240,000 acres. They intend to plant 21% of the medium grain rice or 130,000 acres and they intend to plant 1,000 acres of the 66,000 acres of the short grain rice.

This has been Bobby Coats Extension Economist University of Arkansas Division of Agriculture.

Back to Agricultural and Food Policy Radio

   

© 2006
University of Arkansas
Division of Agriculture
All rights reserved.
Last Date Modified 07/15/2008
Webmaster

University of Arkansas • Division of Agriculture
Cooperative Extension Service
2301 South University Avenue
Little Rock, Arkansas 72204 • USA
Phone (501) 671-2000 • Fax (501) 671-2209
 

MissionDisclaimerEEO
PrivacyFOI