Agricultural Outlook - Agricultural and Food Policy

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Agricultural and Food Policy
Agricultural Outlook

The agricultural outlook web page is devoted primarily to USDA outlook reports. Each month, the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) publishes annual supply and demand forecasts for major crop and livestock commodities for the nation and the world. These forecasts appear in USDA's World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE). WASDE forecasts are used as benchmarks in the marketplace because of their comprehensive nature, objectivity, and timeliness. Annual forecasts appear monthly in WASDE for:

Crops (U.S. and world)—wheat, rice, feed grains (corn, sorghum, barley, oats), soybeans, cotton, and sugar.
Livestock (U.S. only)—meat animals, poultry, and dairy.

ERS outlook is a component of a larger USDA Process of developing and disseminating forecasts. Learn more about the process, players, and other outputs.

U.S.D.A. Outlook and Statistical Calendar - Agency Reports Schedule/Calendar for Economic Research Service (ERS), Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS), National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), and the World Agricultural Outlook Board (WAOB).

U.S.D.A. World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates - This full-text monthly report provides the most current USDA forecasts of U.S. and world supply-use balances of major grains, soybeans and products, and cotton; and U.S. supply and use of sugar and livestock products.

U.S.D.A. Outlook Reports

Aquaculture	Rice
Cotton and wool	Sugar and sweeteners
Feed	Tobacco
Floriculture and nursery crops	Vegetables and melons
Fruit and tree nuts	Wheat
Livestock, dairy and poultry	Agricultural baseline projections
Oil crops	Consumer Price Index for food
Farm income forecasts	Food expenditures
Food consumption	Food price spreads
Income and finance	Trade

U.S.D.A. Agricultural Outlook: Statistical Indicators - These tables by ERS include data on individual commodities, the general economy, agricultural trade, farm income and expenses, farm prices, food prices and expenditures, and other statistical indicators of the food and agriculture system.

Amber Waves - A new ERS magazine offers a window into the broad range of ERS research and analysis. Food, farming, natural resources, and rural America are covered. On-line and print editions are available. This magazine replaces Agricultural Outlook, FoodReview, and Rural America. Agricultural Outlook ceased publication with the December 2002 issue.

U.S.D.A. Agricultural Baseline Projections - The USDA Baseline consists of 10-year projections for agriculture, assuming continuation of current farm law, as well as specific conditions for the economy, weather, and global situation. Stronger domestic and international economic growth beginning in 2003 provides a more favorable demand setting for the agricultural sector, supporting longer run increases in consumption, trade, and prices. A continued strong U.S. dollar and trade competition from areas such as Brazil, Argentina, and the Black Sea region are constraining factors on U.S. exports, however. Nonetheless, improving global economic growth, particularly in developing countries, provides a foundation for gains in trade and U.S. agricultural exports, resulting in rising market prices, increases in farm income, and improvement in the financial condition of the U.S. agricultural sector.

U.S.D.A.'s Agricultural Outlook Forum

U.S.D.A.'s Economic Research Service Data - ERS produces a range of data products available in different formats, including online databases, spreadsheets, and web files. You can search by topic, by title, or by date. All data products online are available at no charge.

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