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Arkansas Agriculture Newsletters
Arkansas Weekly Crop Report - August 2, 2006

Soybeans Cotton

Soybeans

Arkansas Soybean Crop Situation - Trey Reaper

Several early-planted fields across the state are at or approaching R6, and irrigation termination decisions will have to be made.   Before making any decision regarding irrigation termination, be sure to determine which growth stage the crop is actually in.  A soybean plant has reached the R6 growth stage when one of the top four nodes with a fully developed leaf has a pod with green seeds that fill the pod cavity.  At this point, you will need to evaluate the available soil moisture in conjunction with the plant's growth stage. 

There has been some confusion as to what is the best time for irrigation termination.  The Soybean Production Handbook states that a practical rule of thumb for termination is when 50% or more of the pods have seeds that are touching and there is good soil moisture.  This has been a good rule of thumb for maturity group V's and VI's (determinates), but this may not be a good rule for early-planted fields and earlier maturing varieties (indeterminates).  Some group III and IV varieties may have 50% of pods with seed touching, yet they may still not be a full R6 because of the indeterminate growth habit (pods develop from the bottom upward).  The safest and most practical approach is to consider irrigation termination when the field can be classified as being in the R6 growth stage.  If a plant has reached R6 and there is plenty of available soil moisture, irrigation may be terminated with little to no effect on yield in most years. 

Studies conducted by Phil Tacker and others in 2005 indicated that in certain cases, irrigation beyond the R6 growth stage resulted in increased yield in earlier-maturing varieties.  Keep in mind that this observation is based on one year of data, and these studies are being repeated in 2006 for further verification.    

The studies were conducted in southeast Arkansas at Rohwer and included MG III and IV varieties.  For the MG III variety, a five-bushel increase (64 vs. 59) was achieved with a final irrigation at the R7 growth stage (mature-colored pod on the main stem).  Notice that no late-season rainfall occurred beyond R7, and daytime temperatures were 95o to 100o F until harvest.  Only a one-bushel difference was observed for the MG IV variety between irrigation termination at R6 and R7. However, late-season rainfall occurred before the plants fully matured, and daytime temperatures until harvest were less than 95o F.  Treatments that were not irrigated at the R7 growth stage may have responded to the late-season rainfall and lower temperatures.  

These studies offer only one year of data, but unfortunately 2006 is shaping up to be very similar to the conditions we experienced in 2005.  This data indicates that terminating irrigation early, especially prior to the R6 growth stage, can result in lost yield potential.  Furthermore, early-maturing soybean varieties may respond significantly to late-season (R7) irrigations, particularly when rainfall does not occur past R7 and temperatures are relatively high. 

When deciding when to terminate irrigation, consider how much cost and effort is required for just one more irrigation.  This decision may be relatively simple for center-pivot, furrow, and border-irrigated fields.  Flood irrigated fields can make this decision more complex due to cost and time.  Regardless of irrigation method, nearly all the input costs have been expended when the irrigation termination decision has to be made.  Don't sell these fields short at this point, as the final irrigation may make the difference between a 40- and 50-bushel crop - especially in a hot, dry year like we are currently experiencing. 

The first harvest reports have come in for this growing season.  Unfortunately, these fields were non-irrigated and experienced accelerated maturity due to hot, dry conditions.  Carl Hayden (Chicot County) and Robert Goodson (Phillips County) both reported that March-planted fields have been harvested in their counties with less than favorable yields ranging from 12 to 30 bu/ac.  Most areas in the state have a good chance for milder temperatures and possibly rainfall over the next several days.  Hopefully this will allow plants, especially in non-irrigated fields, to increase overall seed size and yield.

Soybean Research Verification Reports 

North SRVP (Trey Reaper):  Irrigated fields continue to improve each week, as all fields have reached the reproductive growth stages.  Fields in Clay and Randolph Counties have reached R3 and will continue to be irrigated in a timely manner.  The Lawrence Co. field is approaching R6 and will require at least one more irrigation. Some SDS was noticed across the field this week, but stinkbug levels are very low thus far.  The Perry Co. North field has reached R3 and looks great with very limited disease and insect pressure at this time.  The field caught over an inch of rain late last week, but irrigation will resume in a couple of days.  The Perry Co. South field has reached full bloom and received 0.5" of rain late last week.  The Sebastian Co. field has a good pod load, but lack of rainfall has prevented seed development for the majority of the field.  The field has received less than 5" of rain since R2.  Stinkbugs are just at treatment threshold, but we will wait a few days to explore application costs and options as well as evaluate the overall yield potential of the crop.  The Craighead Co. field is in excellent condition and is approaching R6.  We plan on irrigating the majority of the field up to R7 while terminating irrigation at R6 on a portion of the field.  This field has a very light soil type, and we could see a yield increase from later irrigation.  The Mississippi Co. field has also reached full bloom and is in good shape so far.  The Crittenden Co. field responded well to irrigation and looks good with the exception of areas that did not achieve a good stand.  Barnyard grass escapes may be difficult to control, as the Select application was delayed.  The Phillips Co. field has reached R6 with good soil moisture; therefore, irrigation has been terminated on this field.  The field, which has a clay loam soil, has good overall water holding capacity.  Stinkbug levels have not increased, and while they are not at treatment threshold, next week will be the third week in a row, and we may need to consider treatment.

South SRVP: SRVP fields in south Arkansas are in fair to good condition.  In the dryland Lafayette Co., field beans are beginning to touch in pods.  Some downy mildew and frogeye is present but has not spread much in the last week.  A number of green stink bugs were found when we scouted the field; however, numbers are below threshold.  We will look again this week and consider treatment if numbers are at threshold levels.  In Jefferson Co., plants are at varying stages of reproductive development.  Older plants are at R5, while younger plants and plants that were stunted by standing water are at R3.  Insect pressure is low, and a small amount of frogeye and downy mildew was found this week.  The likelihood of treating for foliar disease is minimal at present, but we will keep a close eye on the situation.   The Ashley Co. field looks very good at present and has been irrigated seven times so far this season.  Some stinkbugs were present last week; however, the numbers were below threshold level.  We will check again this week and make a decision in efforts to maintain what looks to be an excellent yield potential.  Fields in Arkansas and Drew counties look good and are in the R3 growth stage.  The program's only double-crop field has really started growing in Desha Co.  The field was sprayed last week with a tank mix of glyphosate and Classic in efforts to control some large morning glories.    Irrigated SRVP fields are being watered about every week, and all fields are being closely monitored for insect and disease pressure. 

Soybean Economics Bob Stark – July 24, 2006

The weekly average Arkansas cash soybean price fell from the previous weekly average of $5.87 to $5.66 for the July 17–21 week.  Daily averages were in retreat throughout the week, sliding from $5.70 on Monday to $5.58 per bushel on Friday across the nine state markets that continue to report to USDA–NASS.  Overall, the market price fell 27 cents from the previous Friday close, including a 13-cent decline on Monday alone.  Highest daily market price of this past week was recorded at $5.79 on July 17 at Helena and lowest price was $5.39 on July 21 at Wynne.

The July 3–7 surge in weekly averages for old crop Arkansas soybeans seemed to be holding in place prior to the current week change.  Market analysts continued to cite the bearish fundamentals of large stocks and expected high 2006 production, despite some slight positive movements in each measure along with reports of unfavorable weather conditions and falling USDA crop ratings.

Many Arkansas soybean producers continue to book an increased percentage of their 2006 crop.  For New Crop No. 1 Yellow Soybean Prices (across the fifteen reporting state markets), the state average for the week was $5.73 per bushel, a fall of 22 cents from the previous weekly average of $5.95 per bushel.  New crop beans were found to be about 7 cents above the old crop average price for the same weekly period.

Soybean Ruse Update – July 27, 2006
Cliff Coker and John Rupe

Yesterday, July 26, LSU announced the discovery of Asian soybean rust on infected soybean leaves from sentinel plots  at the Dean Lee Experiment Station near Alexandria, LA (Rapides Parish).  The disease has not been found in commercial soybean fields in Louisiana yet.

We are starting to get a lot of calls and questions concerning the situation in Louisiana and what it may mean for Arkansas soybean fields.

We see no reason to panic at this time.  The find in Louisiana is still 150 miles south of the Arkansas border, and weather conditions here do not favor disease development.  Unless rust is detected closer to Arkansas, we see no reason to start spraying fungicides yet.

For growers currently spraying high yield-potential soybean fields for preventative reasons - as is the custom in some parts of the state - we also do not see any reason to shift fungicides.  Headline or Quadris alone should still be the materials of choice unless things change a lot over the next few weeks.

We have intensified our scouting in southern Arkansas in order to stay in front of any changes and will keep you informed.

Keep in mind that current economic conditions and the limited yield potential of many soybean fields in the state make it very important to make the best decision possible - at the correct time - in order to maximize any economic benefit from a fungicide application.  Fields now at R5 and later have likely outrun the disease this year.  Please call your local county Extension agent for assistance in developing a fungicide plan for your soybean acreage, if needed.

LSU Press Release Follows:

LSU AgCenter NEWS
LSU AgCenter Communications
Knapp Hall
Baton Rouge, Louisiana 70894‑5100
Phone: (225) 578‑2263 Fax: (225) 578‑4524

Distributed 07/26/06

Asian Soybean Rust Confirmed On Louisiana Soybeans

LSU AgCenter scientists confirmed Wednesday (July 26) that Asian soybean rust was found on soybeans in Rapides Parish.

This is the first finding of the disease on soybeans in Louisiana for 2006. It had been found about a month ago on kudzu, a plant that can host the disease, in Iberia and Lafayette parishes.

The discovery on soybeans came in the central part of the state in a sentinel plot on the LSU AgCenter's Dean Lee Research Station in Alexandria. The plot is one of 15 in the state planted early to give scientists a heads‑up in case of a disease outbreak.

"It's been raining, providing the warm, humid conditions this disease likes," said Dr. Clayton Hollier, LSU AgCenter plant pathologist. "We suspect if it's been found here, it is also in other soybean fields in the state."

The recommendation to farmers is that they treat vulnerable fields with a fungicide to halt the disease's growth. They can get the fungicide recommendations from any LSU AgCenter agent or on the AgCenter's Web site (www.lsuagcenter.com).

This must be done on a field‑by‑field basis, based on the growth stage in the field and any treatments that have already been applied," said Dr. David Lanclos, LSU AgCenter soybean specialist. "We're not recommending blanket spraying. Producers can contact anybody at the LSU AgCenter, and we'll help them with a plan to protect their crops."

Lanclos said up to 70 percent of the total soybean acreage in the state (830,000 acres) already has reached a maturity stage in which the disease, even if it occurs, will not hurt yields. In those cases, beans "already have been set." The disease causes defoliation, which stops photosynthesis and thus plant growth.

Unfortunately, the rest of the soybeans in the state were planted later, and beans are still forming, he said.

"There are nine parishes in the state that traditionally plant their beans later," Lanclos said. "These soybean fields are particularly vulnerable."

The nine parishes where soybeans generally are planted later are in the south central and southwestern parts of the state and include Acadia, Avoyelles, Beauregard, Evangeline, Jefferson Davis, Pointe Coupee, Rapides, St. Landry, and St. Martin.

Hollier, who analyzes about 1,500 suspect leaves taken from across the state each week in his lab, said the leaves from the plot where the disease was confirmed were thick with disease spores.

"Several sporulating pustules were found on 75 percent of the leaves taken from the plot," Hollier said. "This means the disease was well on its way."

Asian soybean rust, which has the potential to devastate soybean yields because of its ability to spread fast, already has been confirmed on soybeans in Alabama and Georgia in the past few weeks, Hollier said. Scouting efforts are under way throughout the United States.

Please contact your local county Extension office for more information on soybeans in Arkansas.

 

Cotton

Crop Status

(Bill Robertson - Extension Agronomist, Cotton and Frank Groves - CRVP Coordinator)

As of July 24, the Arkansas Statistical Office of the National Agricultural Statistics Service reported boll set occurring on 93% of the acreage, compared to 75% last week, 86% last year, and 83% averaged over the last five.  The condition of the crop is 1% very poor, 6% poor, 28% fair, 48% good, and 17% excellent.

The hot conditions of last week have been replaced by highs in the upper 80s, lows in the mid 70s and a 60% chance of showers toward the end of the week.  The cloudy conditions of last week failed to cause excessive shed, and we have still managed to avoid the "big one."  Fruit retention values are consistently in the 90-95% range, and the potential exists for a good crop.  Most of the crop is at or near physiological cutout (NAWF=5).  Although we may be reaching cutout earlier than normal according to the calendar, the crop has generally been on or slightly behind pace for most of the season.

Varying levels of a condition referred to as phomopsis, cavitation, or boll dangle can be found in most fields across the state.  Although several theories exist, the cause and cure for this physiological phenomenon remain unclear.  In the past this condition has sometimes been observed at greater levels in later maturing varieties with DP90 backgrounds.  However, it is not restricted to the later-maturing varieties.  We have received a number of calls concerning this in DP445BG/RR this season.  Similar symptomology was observed in this variety last year, which in spite of this occurrence performed very well in Arkansas as well as other states across the Belt. 

Cotton Research Verification Program Update
(Frank Groves - CRVP Coordinator)

Fields continued to follow the target development curve of COTMAN this week and NAWF values were around six.  Cavitation was prevalent across all CRVP fields observed this week.  The loss primarily affected lower first-position bolls and was greater in south Arkansas.  Despite physiological shed due to cavitation and cloudy conditions, fruit retention remained high (90-95%).

Plant bugs numbers appear to have rebounded.  The Mississippi-Costner field (ST 4686R) was treated for plant bugs (1 per 1.2 ft), Heliothis spp. (1 per 3 ft) and saltmarsh caterpillar (3 per ft).  Plant bugs were also treated in the Chicot-Pool field.  The unusual number of bollworms found in the terminal of plants last week subsided this week.  The high numbers across multiple varieties of first generation Bt cotton was alarming, but proved to be insignificant with time.

Cotton Insect Pests
(Gus Lorenz – Extension Entomologist)

With recent high temperatures, we have begun to receive calls on treatment failures.  In many cases, the reason has been improper selection of insecticides, but in others it may be application problems, mainly lack of adequate volume.  Also, I continue to receive calls on tank mixing several products in one application.  One person told me last week that he was spraying two insecticides, boron, three gallons of fertilizer, and 8 ounces of mepiquat chloride in one application with a total volume of four gallons per acre.  I'm surprised it would even spray through the nozzles.  My question is, "What's more important - getting all that stuff out in one application or controlling insects?"

Plant bugs appear to be making a comeback as our cotton crop rushes toward termination.  Plots at Soudan (Lee County) this week hit the one plant bug per row foot level.  Greg Smith, consultant in Mississippi County, reported several fields over one per row foot.  We have received a few reports on lack of control with acephate in Arkansas, and particularly in Louisiana and Mississippi.  Stoneville researchers Gordon Snodgrass and Jeff Gore are reporting high levels of resistance in plant bugs collected in Mississippi in several fields.

Bollworm/Budworm trap counts finally began to fall last weekend in most of southeast Arkansas.  However, we began kicking up budworm moths in our plots in Jefferson County and are still seeing eggs in the cotton.  Danny Moore, consultant in Poinsett County, reports seeing several budworm moths in fields this week.  Many folks have attempted to control worms in conventional cotton in the last week with a pyrethroid and have experienced varying degrees of control failures.  If you apply a pyrethroid in conventional cotton and find worms 3 to 4 days after application, it's probably a good idea to make some changes in your insecticide selection.  Recent larval collections by Glenn Studebaker indicated fields in northeast Arkansas were 50/50 budworm/bollworm.  Greg Smith identified larvae he collected as 40% budworm.  I would suggest you treat this population accordingly in conventional cotton.

We have received several reports of terminal and square damage in Bollgard cotton this year.  It certainly does not appear to be any one variety, but rather a general trend.  Whether or not this is a factor of environmental conditions or increasing bollworm tolerance is not known at this time, but it is certainly something we will have to monitor.  During the recent bollworm flight, we observed some fruit and terminal damage in WideStrike cotton.  Stephen Wall also reported treating WideStrike cotton twice for bollworms.  However, this week in our plots, while worm counts remained high in conventional cotton, the WideStrike plots were relatively free of damage.  This serves to remind us that we need to stay vigilant and scout all cotton closely for developing problems.

Fall Armyworm numbers appear to be increasing statewide and may become a major concern for us as the end of the season quickly approaches.  Bobby Griffin reported today that about 30% of the worms he saw in fields this week were FAWs.  We have seen an increase in FAW numbers in our plots in Jefferson County.  Remember to look for developing populations down in the plant.  Look for the "windowpane" appearance on boll bracts and leaves.  It's much easier to control FAWs when they are small.

Mites continue to cause problems in many areas.  Recent trials conducted this week and last continue show that bifenthrin products, Discipline, Fanfare, and Brigade (formerly known as Capture), provide decent control in most situations.  Denim, a sister compound of Zephyr, should provide good suppression of spider mites, particularly on conventional cotton if worm applications are necessary.

Cotton Economics
(Scott Stiles and Rob Hogan Extension Ag Economists)

Crop Conditions Deteriorating; A Second Chance to Purchase .58 Calls

The weekly USDA crop ratings reveal the severity and impact of the dry weather conditions seen over the past month.  Much of the decline in the condition of the U.S. cotton crop can be attributed to Texas.  Since June 25th, roughly one-half of the Texas crop has been rated as "poor" to "very poor."  Because there has been no relief from recent 100-degree temperatures, crop conditions may continue to deteriorate.  Some analysts are willing to venture that the Texas cotton crop could fall to 4 million bales.  That reflects very poor yields and substantial abandonment given the fact that the USDA recently estimated that 6.4 million acres were planted in the state.

30-Day Weather Outlook

The NOAA recently released its 30/90 day outlook.  Above-normal temperatures are expected to continue over the next 30 days for all of the southern U.S. (except the Carolinas).  Texas, Oklahoma, Arkansas, Louisiana, and Mississippi could experience "much above" normal temperatures in August.  Texas, north Louisiana, and Arkansas (except for extreme northeast Arkansas) are expected to remain in an area of "below normal" precipitation as well.

Marketing Strategy

As this article is being written, December cotton futures have traded up to one-month highs.  Perhaps the traders are following the weather?  Since the release of the June 25 Weekly Crop Progress report, market prices have traded back and forth. But December '06 futures are 172 points higher today than on June 26. 

Given the continued decline in U.S. crop conditions and the predicted weather for the next 30 days, now may be the time to consider purchasing December .58 call options.  Presently, one .58 call option can be purchased for 2.01 cents per pound ($1005).  One call option would protect the counter-cyclical payment on 100 bales of production.  To reduce the cost of this strategy, those comfortable with options could also look at selling calls at or near 66 cents to offset the cost of purchased options. 

The cost of 58-cent call options will only increase as the futures market approaches that price level (i.e. 58 cents).   December '06 futures are currently trading at 55.18.  For questions related to commodity marketing, producers are encouraged to contact the authors of this article.  (Scott Stiles (870) 972.2481 or Rob Hogan (870) 526.2199 ext. 108)

Upcoming Meetings

2006 Field Days/Crop Tours

  • August 10 - Clay County
  • August 24 - Lon Mann CRS at Marianna
  • August 25 - Jefferson County
  • August 31 - Judd Hill at Judd Hill

2006 County IPM Meetings

Date County Location Time
August 8, 2006 Woodruff/Monroe Cotton Plant Gin Noon - 1:00 p.m.

 

Back to Arkansas Weekly Crop Report 


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University of Arkansas
Division of Agriculture
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Last Date Modified 07/15/2008
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